Trump's 2028 Odds Shorten…but so Did Obama's
The oddsmakers adjusted their numbers after hearing Sunday's news that President Donald Trump is "not joking" about running for a third term.
Trump told NBC News that "there are methods" for a path to being the Republican nominee in 2028, which adjacently would also open paths for Barack Obama and Bill Clinton to run again.
At BetOnline.ag, Trump's 2028 Presidential chances improved following the report, going from 10/1 to 6/1. In turn, JD Vance's odds worsened, moving from 5/2 to 3/1.
President Obama's odds improved from 75/1 to 40/1, while his wife's odds worsened from 22/1 to 25/1.
Here's the full breakdown:
|
2028 Presidential Election |
Current Odds |
March 29 Odds |
|
J.D. Vance |
3/1 |
5/2 |
|
Donald Trump Sr. |
6/1 |
10/1 |
|
Josh Shapiro |
10/1 |
8/1 |
|
Gretchen Whitmer |
16/1 |
16/1 |
|
Gavin Newsom |
18/1 |
18/1 |
|
Wes Moore |
18/1 |
18/1 |
|
Kamala Harris |
20/1 |
18/1 |
|
Andy Beshear |
22/1 |
22/1 |
|
Donald Trump Jr. |
25/1 |
25/1 |
|
Ron DeSantis |
25/1 |
25/1 |
|
Michelle Obama |
25/1 |
22/1 |
|
Marco Rubio |
28/1 |
28/1 |
|
Ivanka Trump |
33/1 |
33/1 |
|
Mark Cuban |
33/1 |
33/1 |
|
Brian Kemp |
40/1 |
40/1 |
|
Tulsi Gabbard |
40/1 |
40/1 |
|
Kristi Noem |
40/1 |
40/1 |
|
Pete Buttigieg |
40/1 |
40/1 |
|
Mark Kelly |
40/1 |
40/1 |
|
Tom Cotton |
40/1 |
40/1 |
|
Barack Obama |
40/1 |
75/1 |
|
Bill Clinton |
500/1 |
750/1 |
Additionally, there are two hypothetical matchup markets for Trump vs. Obama and Trump vs. Clinton. Trump is an underdog to Obama and a favorite against Clinton.
Finally, the chances of the two-term limit constitutional law being changed are long, at least according to the odds.
Will the two-term limit be repealed before the 2028 Election?
Yes 3/1
No 1/5
(NOTE: Odds imply an 83% probability limit will not be repealed)
2028 Presidential Election
Barack Obama 1/2
Donald Trump 8/5
2028 Presidential Election
Bill Clinton 8/5
Donald Trump 1/2
